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Stablecoins: Past, Present and FutureChapter 9 of 12

Where stablecoins are actually used

Stablecoins moved tens of trillions of dollars on blockchains in 2025, yet only a few hundred billion of that paid for goods, services or wages. Most of the traffic is trading and exchange plumbing. The payments that are left cluster in a few places: business payments across borders, remittances to countries with expensive banking, card settlement, dollar savings where the local currency is weak, and payroll for remote workers.

What you'll learn

  • Explain why gross stablecoin transfer volume overstates payments, and trace the funnel from one to the other.
  • Describe the first job of stablecoins, settlement for trading and decentralized finance.
  • Walk through a cross-border payment and say which costs a stablecoin removes and which it only moves.
  • Name the places where stablecoins lose, including to free local payment systems.
  • Place cards, savings and payroll at their actual scale in September 2026.
In this chapter

From trillions of transfers to billions of payments

Transfer volume is the total value of stablecoins moved from one address to another. It was about 33 to 35 tn USD in 2025, according to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and Visa with Artemis. The number is correct, and it measures something other than payments.

Most transfers are machinery. Deposits to and withdrawals from centralized exchanges made up about 36% of 2025 volume, according to Visa and Artemis, and removing them leaves about 21 tn USD. Much of the rest is trading between protocols, bots competing for arbitrage and wallets that belong to the same owner. Each hop counts again.

A real-economy payment is a transfer between two separate parties for goods, services or wages. McKinsey and Artemis estimated these at about 390 bn USD in 2025, roughly 0.02% of all payments worldwide. Business-to-business payments were the largest part, at about 226 bn USD.

From transfer volume to payments, 2025About 35 tn USD of stablecoins moved on-chain in 2025. Removing deposits to and withdrawals from exchanges leaves about 21 tn USD. McKinsey and Artemis estimate payments between distinct parties at about 390 bn USD, of which about 226 bn USD was business to business.From transfer volume to payments, 2025bn USD, log scale1,00010,000Gross transfers: 35,000 bn USD35,000Gross transfersWithout exchange flows: 21,000 bn USD21,000Without exchange flowsPayments: 390 bn USD390Paymentsof which B2B: 226 bn USD226of which B2BBIS, Apr 2026; Visa and Artemis, 2026; McKinsey and Artemis, Feb 2026
About 35 tn USD of stablecoin transfers in 2025 shrink to about 21 tn USD without exchange flows and to about 390 bn USD of payments between distinct parties, of which about 226 bn USD was business to business, according to BIS, Visa/Artemis and McKinsey/Artemis.
Deep dive Three estimates, three methods

Other estimates of the same 2025 payments land in the same range but not on the same point. BCG and Allium, in a study for Ripple, counted 350 to 550 bn USD of payments between economically distinct parties, using a wider definition. Artemis, adding up volumes reported directly by payment companies in a survey, found a run rate of about 122 bn USD in August 2025, which is best read as a floor because it only covers firms that answered. The spread reflects a young category with no agreed definition: whether to count card spending funded by stablecoins, payment companies prefunding each other, or transfers between two payment providers.

The funnel matters for anyone reading a stablecoin pitch. A slide that sets 35 tn USD of stablecoin volume next to Visa's card volume compares traffic to purchases. The fair comparison is a few hundred billion, growing fast from a small base.

The first job is settlement for trading

Before stablecoins paid anyone's invoice, they were the cash leg of crypto markets, and that is still their largest use by volume.

Settlement is the final exchange of money for an asset. On a crypto exchange, bitcoin is priced and paid for in USDT or USDC because a dollar token can move in and out of wallets at any hour, while a bank dollar can only move during banking hours through the exchange's bank. In decentralized finance (DeFi), where lending and trading run as programs on a blockchain, stablecoins are the unit in which loans are measured and interest is paid. A loan of 100 ETH means something different every day as ETH moves. A loan of 100,000 USDC does not.

This job explains why supply and payments diverge so much. A trader's USDC can move dozens of times a day between an exchange, a lending protocol and a wallet without anyone buying a thing. The market snapshot turns this into a measure of velocity.

Cross-border payments: what the token removes

Sending money across borders is where stablecoins have the clearest advantage, and the advantage has a precise shape.

Correspondent banking is the chain of banks that pass an international payment along when the sender's bank has no account at the recipient's bank. SWIFT is the messaging network those banks use; it does not hold or move the money itself. A small international transfer through a bank costs more than 13% on average and takes one to four business days, according to the World Bank's Remittance Prices Worldwide.

That cost has four parts: the currency exchange spread, prefunding, a fee at each bank in the chain, and compliance checks against sanctions and money laundering. Prefunding is money a provider parks in advance in every country it serves so it can pay out locally. A stablecoin replaces the chain of banks with one transfer on a blockchain and removes the need to prefund the middle of the route. It does not remove the other two. An on-ramp is a service that turns local money into a stablecoin, and an off-ramp turns it back. The currency spread moves to these two ramps, and so do the compliance checks.

A cross-border payment as a stablecoin sandwichDollars in, USDC across a blockchain, pesos out. The blockchain hop replaces the chain of correspondent banks and the money pre-parked in each country. The currency spread and the compliance checks move to the two ramps at the edges.A cross-border payment as a stablecoin sandwichCurrency spread and screening stay hereSender: US, pays USDSenderUS, pays USDOn-ramp: USD to USDC, 0.1–1%On-rampUSD to USDC, 0.1–1%Blockchain hop: seconds, cents to a few USDBlockchain hopseconds, cents to a few USDOff-ramp: USDC to MXN, 0.1–1%Off-rampUSDC to MXN, 0.1–1%Recipient: Mexico, SPEI creditRecipientMexico, SPEI creditBased on Felix Pago's US-to-Mexico service, Sep 2026; ramp spreads and network fees are typical ranges
A stablecoin payment from the US to Mexico: dollars in, USDC across a blockchain, pesos out, with the currency spread and screening on the two ramps, based on Felix Pago's service in Sep 2026.

A stablecoin sandwich is the name for this structure: fiat in, stablecoin across, fiat out. The recipient usually never sees the token.

What it costs to send money abroad, by channelBanks charge more than 13% on average for a small international transfer and digital money-transfer operators about 3.5%. Wise sits at 0.5 to 1% and a stablecoin with a fiat on-ramp and off-ramp at about 0.2 to 2%. The bank bar shows the floor of its range; the Wise and stablecoin bars show the top of theirs.What it costs to send money abroad, by channel% of the amount sent051015Bank (13% and up): 13 %13Bank (13% and up)Digital operator (about 3.5%): 3.5 %3.5Digital operator (about 3.5%)Stablecoin with ramps (0.2–2%): 2 %2Stablecoin with ramps (0.2–2%)Wise (0.5–1%): 1 %1Wise (0.5–1%)World Bank, Remittance Prices Worldwide 2025; stablecoin: network fee plus 0.1–1% spread at each ramp
Sending money abroad costs more than 13% through a bank and about 3.5% through a digital operator, while Wise and a stablecoin with ramps both sit around 1 to 2% or less, based on World Bank Remittance Prices Worldwide 2025 and typical ramp spreads.

The chart holds a sobering detail. Wise, a money-transfer company, charges 0.5% to 1% with no blockchain at all. It holds local bank accounts in each country, collects pounds in London and pays out reais in Brazil from its own local balance, so no money crosses a border for each payment. Wise needed dozens of local licences to do it. A stablecoin service needs a licensed on-ramp and off-ramp in each country, which is the same licensing problem in another form.

Remittances, the money migrants send home, show the model working at scale. Felix Pago runs the US-to-Mexico sandwich over WhatsApp and had processed more than 8 bn USD across 11 Latin American countries by September 2026, at under 1% against 5% to 7% on traditional channels, according to Mizuho. Bitso, a Mexican exchange, handled about 6.5 bn USD of US-to-Mexico remittances in 2024, about a tenth of that corridor.

For businesses, the value lies in speed and hours. A 50,000 USD supplier payment that settles in minutes on a Sunday frees working capital that would otherwise sit in transit for days. That is why business-to-business payments are the largest slice of the 390 bn USD, and why fintechs such as Mastercard's newly acquired BVNK and Stripe's Bridge sell stablecoin payment APIs to payroll platforms, marketplaces and payment companies.

Where stablecoins lose

The usual comparison puts a stablecoin next to a bank wire or a card, the most expensive options available. In many countries the real alternative is a free local instant payment system.

An instant payment system is a national network that moves money between bank accounts in seconds, around the clock. India's UPI processed about 228 billion transactions in 2025, worth about 3.4 tn USD, according to the National Payments Corporation of India. Brazil's Pix moved about 6.5 tn USD over the same year, according to the Banco Central do Brasil. Each of them alone is many times the global estimate of stablecoin payments.

These systems are free or nearly free to the payer, because the state, the banks or the merchants carry the cost. A stablecoin adds two conversions that a domestic payment in rupees or reais does not need. Inside India, Brazil, the eurozone (with SEPA Instant) or Poland (with BLIK), stablecoins have little to offer an ordinary shopper.

Checkout is the second weak spot. A chargeback is a card network's reversal of a payment after a dispute, and it protects consumers against fraud and undelivered goods. A stablecoin transfer is final once the blockchain confirms it, and nobody in the protocol can reverse it. For a business settling an invoice, finality is a feature. For a shopper buying from an unknown online store, the missing chargeback is a real cost.

Cards, savings and payroll

Card settlement is the daily transfer of money between the banks behind a card network, and stablecoins are entering it quietly. Visa lets selected US banks settle their card obligations in USDC, and its stablecoin settlement reached an annualized 3.5 bn USD by 30 November 2025. Mastercard expanded stablecoin settlement in June 2026 to cover USDC, PYUSD, USDG, RLUSD and others across several blockchains, and completed its purchase of BVNK in August 2026. The cardholder sees none of this. On the consumer side, card spending funded by stablecoins reached about 4.5 bn USD in 2025, according to McKinsey and Artemis.

Merchants can also accept stablecoins directly. Stripe charges 1.5% for stablecoin payments against about 2.9% plus a fixed fee for cards, and PayPal lets its merchants accept PYUSD and receive dollars automatically. Both exist in production; neither is yet a large share of checkout.

Savings are the use that the payment statistics mostly miss. In countries with high inflation or capital controls, a dollar stablecoin is the easiest way for an ordinary person to hold dollars. In Argentina, stablecoins made up more than half of all crypto purchases with pesos on exchanges between July 2024 and June 2025, according to Chainalysis. Nobody spends these dollars, so they barely show up in payment estimates, yet they are one of the clearest cases of a stablecoin solving a problem that local banks do not.

Payroll is small but live. Deel, a global payroll company, launched stablecoin salary payments on Polygon on 20 May 2026. Rise, a payroll platform for remote teams, passed 1 bn USD of cumulative payroll by November 2025, with more than half of its users choosing to be paid in stablecoins. For a contractor in a country with a weak currency, being paid in USDC combines the payroll and savings cases into one.

What to watch next

  • Payment estimates for 2026: if McKinsey, Artemis or BCG publish figures well above 390 bn USD, especially for business-to-business, the payments story is catching up with the supply story.
  • Stablecoin settlement at Visa and Mastercard: the annualized run rates show whether card networks treat stablecoins as a side experiment or as a settlement rail for all banks.
  • Links between instant payment systems: every new connection between systems like UPI, Pix and SEPA Instant removes a corridor where stablecoins would otherwise win.
  • Licensed on-ramps and off-ramps in emerging markets: the cost of a stablecoin sandwich is set at its edges, so new local licences matter more than faster blockchains.
  • Rules on stablecoin savings in high-inflation countries: governments that restrict dollar stablecoins could close the savings use faster than any market force.

Key takeaways

  1. Stablecoin transfer volume mostly measures trading and exchange traffic; payments between separate parties are a small, fast-growing slice of it.
  2. The first job of stablecoins is still settlement for crypto trading and DeFi, where a dollar that moves at any hour is the product.
  3. A stablecoin removes the correspondent bank chain and the need to prefund the middle of a route, but the currency spread and compliance move to the ramps at each end.
  4. Stablecoins win on long, expensive corridors, large business payments and transfers outside banking hours.
  5. They lose to free domestic instant payment systems and at checkouts where shoppers expect chargeback protection.
  6. Card networks are adopting stablecoins behind the scenes for settlement between banks, which the cardholder never sees.
  7. Dollar savings in weak-currency countries are a major use that payment statistics barely capture.

Glossary

Transfer volume
the total value of stablecoins moved between blockchain addresses, including trading and internal moves.
Real-economy payment
a transfer between separate parties for goods, services or wages.
Correspondent banking
the chain of banks that pass an international payment along between banks without direct accounts.
Prefunding
money a payment provider parks in advance in each country so it can pay out locally.
On-ramp and off-ramp
services that convert local money into a stablecoin and back.
Stablecoin sandwich
fiat in, stablecoin across a blockchain, fiat out, usually without the recipient seeing the token.
Instant payment system
a national network that moves money between accounts in seconds, at any hour, such as UPI or Pix.
Chargeback
a card network's reversal of a payment after a dispute, which stablecoin transfers do not have.

Go deeper

Sources

🟢 primary · 🟡 credible secondary · 🔴 tertiary (never used to cite a number)

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