Stablecoins: Past, Present and FutureChapter 10 of 12
Who's who in stablecoins
A list of stablecoins sorted by size tells you whose balance sheet is biggest. It does not tell you who holds the reserve, who owns the customer, who moves the money between banks and blockchains, or who can shut a token down. This chapter maps the market by role, names the firms in each role, and shows where the profits and the risks sit.
What you'll learn
- Sort any stablecoin company into a role: issuer, infrastructure, custody, distribution, bank or card network.
- Tell an issuer that keeps its own balance sheet from one that rents issuance to a brand.
- Explain why distribution, and not the token itself, decides who earns the most.
- Name the main risk for each large player, one sentence each.
- Recall which tokens already disappeared and the two ways a stablecoin ends.
In this chapter
Issuers that keep their own balance sheet
An issuer is the company that creates the token, holds the money behind it and owes the holder a dollar. Most large issuers take a dollar, buy short US government debt with it and keep the interest, as the business chapter shows.
Tether and Circle are the two giants. They look alike from a distance, since both hold cash and Treasury bills and both let verified clients mint and redeem at one dollar. They differ in where they live and whom they answer to. Circle has been listed on the New York Stock Exchange since 5 June 2025, holds US and EU licences, and publishes monthly attestations by Deloitte. Tether moved its base to El Salvador in January 2025, publishes quarterly attestations by BDO, and holds gold and bitcoin in its reserve buffer. Those two assets are outside the reserve list of the US federal stablecoin law, the GENIUS Act, which is why Tether is building a separate US token, USAT, rather than putting USDT through that regime.
Sky, the protocol formerly called MakerDAO, is a different animal. There is no company that owes you a dollar. USDS is minted against crypto collateral, tokenized Treasuries and a swap into USDC. A Peg Stability Module is a contract that exchanges the protocol's own dollar token one for one with another dollar token, so traders can defend the peg cheaply. It also works as a pipe for shocks. When USDC fell to about 0.87 USD on 11 March 2023, DAI followed it to about 0.88 USD, because the module tied the two together.
Ethena issues USDe, which holds no cash reserve at all. It holds crypto and sells an equal amount of perpetual futures against it, so price moves cancel out. The return comes from funding payments on the futures, and it shrinks when traders stop paying to be long. USDe is not a payment stablecoin under the GENIUS Act, because nobody is legally obliged to redeem it at one dollar, and Germany's supervisor BaFin stopped its public sale there.
Two newer issuers follow the Circle model. Ripple's RLUSD launched in December 2024 through a New York trust company and lives mostly on Ripple's XRP Ledger. World Liberty Financial's USD1 launched in March 2025 and carries a risk no other issuer has: its owners include the family of the sitting US president.
| Issuer | Token | What it holds | Scale (date) | Main risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tether | USDT | Treasuries, cash, gold, bitcoin | 183 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | Offshore; gold and bitcoin sit outside US reserve rules |
| Circle | USDC | Cash and a Treasury fund | 74 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | Banks holding the cash; pays heavily for distribution |
| Sky | USDS, DAI | Crypto, tokenized Treasuries, USDC | 6.6 bn USD USDS (4 Sep 2026) | Imports USDC shocks; no legal issuer to claim against |
| Ethena | USDe | Crypto hedged with futures | 4.3 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | Funding rates turn negative; no par redemption |
| Ripple | RLUSD | Cash and equivalents | 2.4 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | Liquidity concentrated on one chain |
| World Liberty | USD1 | Treasuries and cash | 4.2 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | Political ownership; disputed address freezes |
Issuers that rent the rails
Issuer-as-a-service separates the brand from the balance sheet: a regulated trust company mints the token and holds the reserve, and another company puts its name on it and owns the customer. PayPal's PYUSD is the classroom case: PayPal sells it in its app, and Paxos issues it and holds the reserve.
Paxos also issues USDG for the Global Dollar Network, a group of exchanges and fintechs launched in November 2024. The two products split the money differently. PayPal pays its own rewards from its own margin, while USDG shares reserve income with network members in proportion to what they hold. Agora, a younger firm licensed in Bermuda, sells the same service as a white-label product to many brands.
The model has a clear weakness, and it has already played out once. Paxos issued BUSD for Binance. In February 2023 the New York regulator, NYDFS, ordered Paxos to stop minting it over its oversight of the Binance relationship. The reserve was complete. The token died anyway, because the supervisor could act against the partner. PYUSD carries a milder version of partner risk: its supply rose on a rewards campaign and fell when the campaign ended, from about 4.1 bn USD in early 2026 to about 3.0 bn USD in September.
| Firm | Role | Scale (date) | Main risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paxos | Issues for other brands | USDG 3.2 bn USD, PYUSD 3.0 bn USD (4 Sep 2026) | A partner's trouble becomes the token's trouble |
| PayPal | Brand and distributor of PYUSD | 3.0 bn USD PYUSD (4 Sep 2026) | Supply follows rewards, not payments |
| Agora | White-label issuer | 273 mn USD AUSD (10 Sep 2026) | Small scale, no household brand behind it |
Banks enter from the side
Banks prefer a different instrument. A tokenized deposit is an ordinary bank deposit recorded on a blockchain: it stays a claim on that bank, under bank rules, and usually moves only between the bank's approved clients. A stablecoin is a new liability of a non-bank issuer that anyone can hold. Chapter 1 draws the line in detail.
JPMorgan's JPM Coin, ticker JPMD, is the leading tokenized deposit. It went live on Base, Coinbase's blockchain, in November 2025 for institutional clients and added the Canton network in January 2026. In June 2026 a group of banks owned through The Clearing House, including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo, said it plans a shared tokenized-deposit network for early 2027, and it described the project as something other than a stablecoin.
Société Générale went the other way. Its digital-asset arm, SG-FORGE, issues EURCV and USDCV as e-money tokens under MiCA, the EU crypto law, which makes it a bank that issues a public stablecoin in its own name. The scale is still small: SG-FORGE's own dashboard showed about 166 mn EUR of EURCV on 10 September 2026.
Infrastructure and custody
Minting a fully reserved token is easy to copy. Connecting it to bank accounts in many countries is not. Orchestration is that connecting layer: software and licences that take fiat in one place and deliver stablecoins, or fiat, somewhere else.
The two leading orchestration firms were both bought by payment giants. Stripe paid about 1.1 bn USD for Bridge and closed in February 2025, its largest acquisition. Mastercard agreed to buy BVNK for up to 1.8 bn USD and closed on 3 August 2026. Neither buyer launched a consumer stablecoin of its own. They bought the pipes, which tells you where they think the durable business is.
Custody is the job of holding the private keys and assets safely for someone else. Anchorage Digital became the first federally chartered US digital-asset bank in 2021 and is the custodian for BlackRock's crypto ETFs. BitGo listed on the NYSE in January 2026. Fireblocks sells wallet and key-management software to banks, exchanges and issuers, and says it is not a custodian by default. Ownership links run across layers: Cantor Fitzgerald, which holds Tether's Treasury bills, also owns a stake in Tether.
| Firm | Role | Scale (date) | Main risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge (Stripe) | Orchestration API for businesses | Bought for about 1.1 bn USD (Feb 2025) | Many licences to keep; depends on Stripe's priorities |
| BVNK (Mastercard) | Orchestration API for businesses | Bought for up to 1.8 bn USD (Aug 2026) | Integration into a card network |
| Fireblocks | Wallet and key software | Says 2,400+ clients (company claim, 2026) | A breach at a client or vendor |
| Anchorage | Federally chartered custody bank | Valued at 4.2 bn USD (Feb 2026) | Past AML consent order, lifted Aug 2025 |
| BitGo | Custody, listed | IPO at about 2.1 bn USD valuation (Jan 2026) | Custody figures differ across sources |
Distributors and card networks
A distributor is whoever puts the token in front of users: an exchange, a wallet, a fintech app. Distribution is where issuers spend most of their money. Coinbase co-founded USDC with Circle in 2018 and, under a 2023 agreement, receives income on USDC held in its products plus half of the residual income on USDC held elsewhere. Coinbase said in its first-quarter 2026 shareholder letter that more than a quarter of all USDC sits in its products.
Binance issues nothing and still shapes the market. It carried BUSD until the 2023 halt, then pushed FDUSD with zero-fee trading pairs, and from December 2025 promoted USD1. A token's supply can rise quickly when a large exchange makes it the default pair, and shrink when the exchange moves on.
Card networks joined as settlement layers. Settlement is the step where banks pay each other what they owe after card transactions. Visa lets partner banks settle in USDC and reported a 3.5 bn USD annualised run rate at the end of November 2025. Mastercard settles in six stablecoins across eight chains since June 2026 and bought BVNK. The cardholder sees nothing different; the plumbing between banks changes.
| Firm | Role | Scale (date) | Main risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coinbase | USDC distribution partner, also custodian | More than 25% of USDC held in its products (Q1 2026) | Concentration: one partner holds much of USDC |
| Binance | Exchange that picks default tokens | Main venue for USD1 (2026) | Legal history; favoured tokens can lose support |
| Visa | Settlement in USDC for partner banks | 3.5 bn USD run rate (30 Nov 2025) | Small next to its card volume |
| Mastercard | Multi-token settlement, owns BVNK | Six stablecoins, eight chains (3 Jun 2026) | Early stage; value depends on bank uptake |
How they compete
The roles compete over one pool of money: the interest earned on the reserve. Whoever owns the customer relationship decides how that pool is split. Circle's second-quarter 2026 results show the pattern. Of about 701 mn USD of reserve income, Circle paid about 412 mn USD, close to 59%, to distribution partners, mostly Coinbase. Tether pays almost nothing for distribution because its users come to it through offshore exchanges, which helps explain why Tether reported more than 10 bn USD of net profit for 2025.
That is also why payment companies bought orchestration instead of launching tokens, and why fintechs with large user bases move toward issuing. Revolut launched its own euro stablecoin in August 2026, issued through Bridge. Licences have become a second front. On 12 December 2025 the US bank regulator, the OCC, conditionally approved national trust charters for Circle, Ripple, Paxos, BitGo and Fidelity Digital Assets on one day. Circle's approval became final on 10 July 2026, and World Liberty received a conditional approval in August 2026.
Who disappeared, and why
Stablecoins end in one of two ways. Either the peg breaks and never returns, which costs holders money, or a regulator or owner orders the minting to stop and holders are paid out in an orderly way.
BitUSD, launched on BitShares in 2014, was backed by the network's own token; when that token fell in 2018, BitUSD went into global settlement in November and never recovered. NuBits broke twice, the last time in March 2018. Terra's UST was the large version of the same flaw: its backing was its sister token LUNA, and in May 2022 both fell toward zero, wiping out tens of billions of dollars. The history chapter tells those stories.
In November 2025 the same pattern returned inside DeFi. Stream Finance disclosed a loss of about 93 mn USD in off-chain strategies. Its token xUSD lost most of its value within hours, and Elixir's deUSD fell about 98% because Elixir had lent much of its collateral to Stream. USDX from Stables Labs broke in the same episode.
The orderly endings look different. BUSD stopped minting on 21 February 2023 with a full reserve, and holders could redeem into 2024. Mountain Protocol's USDM, a Treasury-backed token, was bought by Anchorage in May 2025 and wound down in stages until its primary market closed on 22 August 2025. Banks and custodians can also vanish without a depeg: Silvergate and Signature, whose payment networks Circle used, closed in March 2023.
What to watch next
- The OCC's final GENIUS Act rule: the Comptroller said in August 2026 it would come by November. It sets the reserve, redemption and yield rules for every federally supervised issuer on this map.
- Tether's USAT: whether a US-regulated sibling of USDT gains supply will show whether Tether can win onshore without changing USDT.
- The Clearing House bank network: a named product and a launch date in early 2027 would give banks their own settlement token and put pressure on USDC in corporate payments.
- Circle's distribution share: if the share of reserve income paid to partners falls well below 59%, Circle is gaining bargaining power; if it rises, distributors are winning.
- World Liberty's charter: final OCC approval, or its refusal, will test how US supervisors treat an issuer with political owners.
Key takeaways
- The stablecoin market is a set of roles: issuers, infrastructure, custody, distribution, banks and card networks. Supply rankings describe only the first.
- Issuers either keep the reserve on their own balance sheet (Tether, Circle, Ripple) or rent issuance to a brand (Paxos for PayPal). The name on the token is not always the firm that owes you the dollar.
- Sky and Ethena do not fit the cash-reserve model. Sky links its token to USDC through a swap module, and Ethena holds a hedge, which gives each a different failure mode.
- Distribution captures most of the value. Circle pays well over half of its reserve income to partners, and Tether's low distribution cost is a large part of its profit.
- Payment giants bought the pipes (Bridge, BVNK) instead of launching their own tokens, because connecting banks to blockchains is harder to copy than minting.
- Banks mostly choose tokenized deposits, which stay bank liabilities. SG-FORGE is the exception that issues a public stablecoin.
- Tokens end either by a broken peg (UST) or by an ordered stop (BUSD). A full reserve protects against the first, not the second.
Glossary
- Issuer
- the company that creates the token, holds the reserve and owes holders a dollar on redemption. Circle is the issuer of USDC.
- Issuer-as-a-service
- a regulated firm mints and holds the reserve for a token that carries another company's brand. Paxos issuing PYUSD for PayPal is the example.
- Peg Stability Module
- a contract that swaps one dollar token for another at one to one, used by Sky to link USDS and DAI to USDC.
- Tokenized deposit
- a bank deposit recorded on a blockchain. It remains a claim on that bank, like JPMorgan's JPMD.
- Orchestration
- software and licences that move money between bank accounts and stablecoins across countries. Bridge and BVNK sell it.
- Custody
- holding assets and private keys safely on behalf of a client. Anchorage and BitGo are custodians.
- Distributor
- the exchange, wallet or app that puts a token in front of users and usually takes a share of reserve income.
- Settlement
- the step in which banks pay each other after card or payment transactions. Visa and Mastercard now allow some of it in stablecoins.
Go deeper
- How stablecoin issuers make money: the reserve-income arithmetic behind the fight over distribution.
- Which chains stablecoins live on, and who distributes them: the distribution channels in detail.
- A short history of stablecoins in five crises: UST, BUSD and the SVB weekend as full stories.
- Circle, Tether and Paxos: company profiles.
- 🟢 Circle, second-quarter 2026 results, 5 August 2026, https://www.circle.com/pressroom
- 🟢 DefiLlama stablecoin dashboard, https://defillama.com/stablecoins
Sources
🟢 primary · 🟡 credible secondary · 🔴 tertiary (never used to cite a number)
- 🟢 DefiLlama, stablecoin supply by token, read 4 September 2026, https://defillama.com/stablecoins
- 🟢 RWA.xyz, stablecoin dashboard (AUSD, USD1), read 10 September 2026, https://app.rwa.xyz/stablecoins
- 🟢 Circle Internet Group, second-quarter 2026 results, 5 August 2026, https://www.circle.com/pressroom
- 🟢 Circle Internet Group, Form 10-K for 2025 with the Coinbase collaboration agreement exhibit, SEC EDGAR, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1876042/000187604226000062/coinbasecollaborationagree.htm
- 🟢 Coinbase, first-quarter 2026 shareholder letter, 7 May 2026, https://investor.coinbase.com
- 🟢 Paxos, "Paxos will halt minting new BUSD tokens", 13 February 2023, https://paxos.com/2023/02/13/paxos-will-halt-minting-new-busd-tokens/
- 🟢 PayPal Newsroom, PYUSD launch, 7 August 2023, https://newsroom.paypal-corp.com/2023-08-07-PayPal-Launches-U-S-Dollar-Stablecoin
- 🟢 Mountain Protocol, USDM wind-down documentation, 2025, https://docs.mountainprotocol.com/wind-down-documentation/usdm-wind-down-overview.md
- 🟢 Bermuda Monetary Authority, register of regulated entities (Agora Bermuda Limited), https://www.bma.bm/regulated-entities
- 🟢 SG-FORGE, CoinVertible product page and dashboard, read 10 September 2026, https://www.sgforge.com/products/coinvertible/
- 🟢 Visa, "Visa launches stablecoin settlement in the United States", 16 December 2025, https://investor.visa.com/news/news-details/2025/Visa-Launches-Stablecoin-Settlement-in-the-United-States-Marking-a-Breakthrough-for-Stablecoin-Integration/default.aspx
- 🟢 Mastercard, "Mastercard expands settlement capabilities to include stablecoin", 3 June 2026, https://www.mastercard.com/global/en/news-and-trends/press/2026/june/mastercard-expands-settlement-capabilities-to-include-stablecoin.html
- 🟢 BVNK, "Mastercard completes acquisition of BVNK", August 2026, https://www.bvnk.com/press/mastercard-completes-acquisition-of-bvnk-to-advance-global-stablecoin-capabilities
- 🟢 OCC, consent order against Anchorage Digital Bank, 21 April 2022, https://www.occ.gov/news-issuances/news-releases/2022/nr-occ-2022-41.html
- 🟡 FinTech Magazine, "Stripe completes US$1.1bn Bridge acquisition", February 2025, https://fintechmagazine.com/articles/stripe-completes-us-1-1bn-bridge-acquisition
- 🟡 The Block, "OCC grants conditional approval to Trump-linked World Liberty national trust bank", 14 August 2026, https://www.theblock.co/news/regulation/2026-08-14-occ-grants-conditional-approval-trump-world-liberty-national-trust-bank-411906
- 🟡 The Block, "JPMorgan, Citi and major banks plan tokenized deposit network", 4 June 2026, https://www.theblock.co/news/business/2026-06-04-jpmorgan-citi-major-banks-tokenized-deposit-network-403701
- 🟡 The Block, JPMorgan deposit token JPM Coin rollout on Base, 12 November 2025, https://www.theblock.co/news/business/2025-11-12-jpmorgan-deposit-token-jpm-coin-378493
- 🟢 Circle, "Circle Receives Final OCC Approval to Establish National Trust Bank", Business Wire via Nasdaq, 10 July 2026, https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/circle-receives-final-occ-approval-establish-national-trust-bank-2026-07-10
- 🟡 Steptoe, "OCC conditionally approves five national trust bank charter applications", December 2025, https://www.steptoe.com/en/news-publications/occ-conditionally-approves-five-national-trust-bank-charter-applications.html
- 🟡 CoinDesk, Tether 2025 annual profit, 31 January 2026, https://www.coindesk.com
- 🟡 Bloomberg, Revolut euro stablecoin launch, 26 August 2026, https://www.bloomberg.com
- 🟡 Yahoo Finance, "GENIUS Act compliance cliff", 3 September 2026, https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/genius-act-compliance-cliff-137-113348697.html